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Open Competitive Intelligence Resources 


The following competitive-intelligence related material, authored by non-SCIP organizations, has been gathered into this list to provide the CI community with additional exposure to their content. The links take you to free, full-text documents or notable resource directories.

(Note: inclusion does not constitute content endorsement by SCIP.)

 

Artificial Intelligence: The Next Digital Frontier? McKinsey Global Institute.

 

This discussion paper aims to examine investment in artificial intelligence, describe how it is being deployed by companies that have started to use these technologies across sectors, as well as strives to explore its potential to become a major business disrupter.

(June 2017). 80 pages

 

Big Data Analytics: Does Organizational Factor Matters Impact Technology Acceptance? Vitor Brock and Habib Ullah Khan.

 

This scientific paper delivers useful insights as results of integration of two technology adoption frameworks (i.e., TAM and OLC) aimed to explain the adoption of big data analytics. (July 2017) 28 pages

 

Intro Guide to IP for Competitive Intelligence eBook. John Wiora 

 

As the Director of Operations at ktMINE, John ensures that the day-to-day operations and innovations best serve the needs of the market. Wiora leads the analyst team and investigates how intellectual property and licensing research can be improved to provide insightful trends around companies and industries. John has collaborated and conducted research for various industry articles.

 

Language of CI. Vernon Prior. Glossary of terms used in competitive intelligence and knowledge management. 49 pages


U.S. GOVERNMENT PUBLICATIONS

 

Analytic Thinking and Presentation for Intelligence Producers: Analysis Training Handbook.

 

This handbook is designed to help analysts in the Intelligence Community become more effective at their craft. The handbook articulates the philosophy and mission of intelligence officers and systematically layout out principles they can use to conceptualize and create written and oral products. 81 pages.


Assisting People to Become Independent Learners in the Analysis of Intelligence. Peter Pirolli.

 

Office of Naval Research. This project conducted applied research to support post-graduate instruction in intelligence analysis. Part of this effort was aimed at building up empirical studies of analyst knowledge, reasoning, performance, learning, etc involved in intelligence analysis. (2005) 100 pages  

 

Collective Intelligence: creating a prosperous World at Peace. Mark Tovey (ed)


This book signals, but does not itself represent, the emergence of the discipline of collective intelligence. (2008) 648 pages 

 

Critical Thinking and Intelligence Analysis. David T. Moore.


National Defense Intelligence College. This volume provides a framework for improving how analysts think.. The model for thinking developed here also provides specific tools for coping with accelerating disruptive technologies. (March 2007) 158 pages


Human Intelligence Collector Operations Army (FM34-52)  

 

This manual provides doctrinal guidance, techniques, and procedures governing the employment of human intelligence (HUMINT) collection and analytical assets in support of the commander's intelligence needs. (September 2006) 384 pages


Information Operations: Putting the "I" Back into DIME. Robert David Steele.

 

This monograph defines and discussed three information operations elements: strategic communication (the message); open source intelligence (the reality); Joint Information Operations Centers (the technology). (Feb 2006) 87 pages


Intelligence Analysis Army (FM34-3)


This publication described the processes, procedures, and techniques used to produce all-source intelligence. (March 1990) 429 pages


Intelligence Essentials for Everyone. Lisa Krizan 

 

Joint Military Intelligence College. The author has articulated clearly the fundamentals of sound intelligence practice and has identified some guidelines that can lead toward creation of a solid intelligence infrastructure that can be adopted by the private sector. Understanding the needs of the consumer and the sources available enable an analyst to choose the correct methodology to arrive at useful answers. (June 1999) 89 pages  

 

A Paradigm Shift in the Analyst Selection Strategy. Adrian Wolfberg.

 

To improve our analytical workforce, we need a systematic abilities-based pre-employment screening program for intelligence analysis. This paper provides a functional justification for a screening program. (April 2003) 33 pages 

 

Psychology of Intelligence Analysis. Richards J. Heuer, Jr.

 

Center for the Study of Intelligence. The articles are based on reviewing cognitive psychology literature concerning how people process information to make judgments on incomplete and ambiguous information. I then translated the technical reports into language that intelligence analysts can understand and interpreted the relevance of these finding to the problems intelligence analysts face. (1999) 214 pages 

 

Species of Competencies for Intelligence Analysis. David T. Moore 

 

Analysts must have certain learned knowledge, acquired skills, and inherent abilities in order to perform their tasks. While having all the competencies is desirable, mastery of all the competencies is not required for some types of analysis. Further, analysts can perform certain types of analysis with less than the full set of competencies. 35 pages

 

Thinking and Writing: Cognitive Science and Intelligence Analysis. Bob Sinclair

This publication evaluates the implications of growing knowledge in the cognitive sciences for the way the intelligence business is conducted - in how we perform analysis, how we present our findings, and even its meaning for our hiring and training practices. 41 pages.

 

A Tradecraft Primer: Structured Analytical Techniques for Improving Intelligence Analysis.

 

This primer highlights structured analytical techniques, some widely used in the private sector and academia, others unique to the intelligence profession. The primer highlights how structured analytical techniques can help challenge judgments, identify mental mindsets, stimulate creativity, and manage uncertainty. (March 2009) 45 pages


MERCYHURST UNIVERSITY DISSERTATIONS, PAPERS, AND THESES


Appropriate Factors to Consider when Assessing Analytic Confidence in Intelligence Analysis. Joshua J. Peterson. (thesis)  

 

This study examines the literature on analytic confidence in intelligence forecasting, in addition to discussion relevant studies from the social sciences, and those factors found to have an impact on confidence in decision-making. (March 2008) 112 pages


Bayesian Reasoning Method for Intelligence Using Natural Frequencies. Jennifer Lynn Lee. (Thesis) 

 

This thesis introduces a paper and pencil natural frequency tree method for intelligence analysts to use to perform Bayesian reasoning. (May 2007) 204 pages 

 

The Efficacy of Accelerated Analysis in Strategic-Level Estimative Judgments. Michael Lyden. (Thesis)  

 

This thesis presents the findings comparing the accuracy of strategic-level estimative judgments made under conditions of accelerated analysis. Historical research studies found that not only were the student estimates of greater nuance than their National Intelligence Estimates counterparts, but they were also of statistically equal accuracy. (May 2007) 127 pages  

 

The Revolution Begins on Page Five. Kristan Wheaton.  

 

The changing nature of the National Intelligence Estimate and its implications for intelligence.The shift in the form implies a new, emerging theory of intelligence - what intelligence is and how to do it - that is likely to influence intelligence communities worldwide. 26 pages


Verbal Probability Expressions in National Intelligence Estimates: a Comprehensive Analysis of Trends from the Fifites through Post 9/11. Rachel F. Kesselman. (Thesis)

 

This research present the findings of a study that analyzed words of estimative probability in the key judgments of National Intelligence Estimates; equating odds with verbal probabilities. (2008) 124 pages 

 

A Wiki is Like a Room. Kristan Wheaton


Lessons learned from 15 Wiki-based, open-source, intelligence analysis projects. Using a wiki to create custom intelligence products for decision-makers in national security, law enforcement, and business. 29 pages 


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